⚽
Over 2.5 Goals
NO @ 1.62
25% probability
🔁
NO @ 1.67
31% probability
Draw @ 4.2
Castellón and Eibar both have strong defenses, with Eibar boasting a particularly impressive away record of conceding only 0.4 goals per
game. The head-to-head stats and expected goals suggest a tight match, making a draw a likely outcome.
💡 Eibar has been formidable on the road, conceding less than a goal per
game. This defensive solidity could frustrate Castellón's usually reliable home attack.
Final Result
Castellón 2 : 1 Eibar
Our prediction: X ✗
Castellón vs Eibar. A clash with playoff implications. Castellón sits 6th, Eibar 8th. Just two points separate them. It's a battle for promotion playoff spots. Castellón's home form is strong. Eibar, though, is a tough nut to crack away. Expect a tactical duel.
Avg Scored1.7
Avg Conceded1.25
Over 2.545%
BTTS65%
Clean Sheets7
Avg Scored1.4
Avg Conceded0.6
Over 2.540%
BTTS35%
Clean Sheets12
⭐ Castellón — Key Players
| Player | Pos | G | A | Rating | Apps | KP |
|---|
| B. Cipenga | Midfielder | 6 | 9 | 7.23 | 28 | 46 |
| Alberto Jiménez | Defender | 1 | 0 | 7.22 | 34 | 24 |
| Álex Calatrava | Midfielder | 13 | 7 | 7.18 | 39 | 96 |
| J. Mellot | Defender | 0 | 1 | 7.11 | 36 | 16 |
| R. Matthys | Goalkeeper | 0 | 1 | 7.00 | 36 | 2 |
⭐ Eibar — Key Players
| Player | Pos | G | A | Rating | Apps | KP |
|---|
| Anaitz Arbilla | Defender | 4 | 1 | 7.10 | 33 | 13 |
| Peru Nolaskoain | Midfielder | 3 | 2 | 7.09 | 28 | 8 |
| Jon Mikel | Goalkeeper | 0 | 0 | 7.06 | 41 | 1 |
| José Corpas | Midfielder | 6 | 7 | 6.93 | 39 | 60 |
| Sergio Álvarez | Midfielder | 2 | 1 | 6.93 | 35 | 15 |
📊 Additional Markets
Double Chance 1X1.14
Double Chance X22.4
Double Chance 121.17
Over 1.5 Goals1.2
Under 1.5 Goals4.5
Verdict
Expect a stalemate. Castellón's home advantage meets Eibar's defensive grit. Álex Calatrava and Anaitz Arbilla are pivotal. Castellón's attacking flair against Eibar's disciplined backline. Odds favor a draw at 4.2. Expected goals suggest a low-scoring affair. Castellón's slightly better form clashes with Eibar's stubborn defense. A draw seems the logical conclusion.
Focus: Castellón
Castellón has been solid at home. A 4-4-2 setup that scores 1.8 goals on average while conceding just one. Key players like Álex Calatrava, with 13 goals and 7 assists, drive the team forward. B. Cipenga supports with 6 goals and 9 assists. Their home form, 12 wins, and 4 draws, shows resilience. Clean sheets in five of their home games underline defensive strength. A win here could cement their playoff spot.
The Visitors: Eibar
Eibar's away form is a mixed bag. Five wins but nine losses. Yet, their defense shines, conceding just 0.4 goals on average away. Anaitz Arbilla anchors the defense, while José Corpas, with 6 goals and 7 assists, leads the attack. Their 4-2-3-1 formation aims for control and counters. Despite a recent dip, they remain a threat. A win could leapfrog them into the playoff mix.
Frequently Asked Questions
1
What are the
odds for Castellón vs Eibar?
Castellón: 1.54, Draw: 4.2, Eibar: 5.4. Implied probabilities are 64.9% for Castellón, 23.8% for a draw, and 18.5% for Eibar. The model suggests value on the draw, which aligns with the highest implied probability discrepancy.
2
What is the correct
score prediction for Castellón vs Eibar?
The model's most likely
score is 0-0. Given the expected goals (xG) of 0.65 for Castellón and 0.63 for Eibar, a scoreless draw aligns with the prediction of a tight defensive match.
3
What is the best
bet for Castellón vs Eibar?
The best value
bet is a draw at
odds of 4.2. The model gives a 42% chance for a draw, while the implied probability of the
odds is only 23.8%, indicating a value edge.
4
Is the Double Chance
bet worth it for Castellón vs Eibar?
Double Chance 1X is priced at 1.14, X2 at 2.4, and 12 at 1.17. The 1X option covers a Castellón
win or draw, with a combined probability much higher than the implied
odds probability, offering less value compared to a straight draw
bet.
5
Are there injury concerns for Castellón vs Eibar?
Both squads appear fit with no significant injuries reported. This means both
teams can field their strongest lineups, which supports the prediction of a closely contested match.
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Segunda División31.05.2026
