Independiente del Valle vs Delfin SC — Analysis and Odds | Copa Ecuador | 06/11/2026

Football predictions

31.10.2026 07:04

Copa Ecuador|06/11/2026

Independiente del Valle

68%

Delfin SC

10%

68%

22%

10%

Independiente del ValleDraw 22%Delfin SC

🏆

Prediction

Independiente del Valle @ 1.62

⚽

Over 2.5 Goals

NO @ 1.62

44% probability

🔁

Both Teams Score

NO @ 1.62

39% probability

Model Confidence

88%

45%Model accuracy (last 60 days) — 117/259

★ BEST BET

Double Chance 1X @ 1.19

Independiente del Valle have a 68% chance of winning according to model data, with a strong home performance of 7 wins from 10 matches. Delfin SC, on the other hand, have managed only 3 away wins in 11 attempts. The model probability far exceeds the implied probability of the Double Chance 1X market, offering value.

💡 Independiente del Valle have scored an average of 1.8 goals per game at home, while Delfin SC have only managed 0.82 goals on average away, highlighting a significant attacking edge for the hosts.

This Copa Ecuador clash between Independiente del Valle and Delfin SC, held in Quito, presents an intriguing matchup with significant implications. While the standings data is unavailable, Independiente del Valle's recent dominance over Delfin SC and their impressive home record make them formidable opponents. In their last encounter, Independiente secured a convincing 3-0 victory away from home, underscoring their superiority. With an average of 1.85 goals scored per game, the home side's attacking prowess is evident. Delfin, despite their occasional flashes of brilliance, struggle on the road, scoring just 0.82 goals on average. This match could further cement Independiente's psychological edge, setting the stage for a compelling contest.

📊 Team Statistics

Independiente del Valle

WDLWW

Wins

Draws

Losses

Avg Scored1.85

Avg Conceded0.95

Over 2.555%

BTTS50%

Clean Sheets8

Failed to Score3

Home7W 2D 1L

Away7W 1D 2L

Delfin SC

LLWWD

Wins

Draws

Losses

Avg Scored1

Avg Conceded1.25

Over 2.535%

BTTS40%

Clean Sheets5

Failed to Score8

Home4W 1D 4L

Away3W 3D 5L

🏟️

Venue

Estadio Banco Guayaquil, Quito

12,600 capacity · Grass

📊 Additional Markets

Double Chance 1X1.19

Double Chance X22.32

Double Chance 121.23

Over 1.5 Goals1.2

Under 1.5 Goals4.2

Verdict: Full Picture

Season Statistics in Context

The Availability Factor

How the Match Is Likely to Unfold

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the odds for Independiente del Valle vs Delfin SC?

Independiente del Valle are at odds of 1.62, the draw is at odds of 3.95, and Delfin SC are priced at 4.9. This gives implied probabilities of 61.7%, 25.3%, and 20.4% respectively. The model probability of 68% for Independiente suggests value in backing the home side.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Independiente del Valle vs Delfin SC?

The odds for Over 2.5 goals are at 1.62, but the model suggests a total expected goal tally of 2.45. Given the 44% probability for Over 2.5, and Delfin's away scoring struggles, betting on Under 2.5 appears more prudent.

What is the correct score prediction for Independiente del Valle vs Delfin SC?

The model's most likely score is 1-0. With Independiente's xG of 1.92 and Delfin's 0.53, this aligns well with the prediction direction, highlighting a stronger attacking output from the home side.

Will both teams score in Independiente del Valle vs Delfin SC?

With BTTS odds at 1.62, the prospects are bleak given a BTTS probability of 39%. Independiente's clean sheet rate at home and Delfin's low away scoring suggest a likely scenario where both teams do not score.

Is the Double Chance bet worth it for Independiente del Valle vs Delfin SC?

Double Chance 1X is priced at 1.19, X2 at 2.32, and 12 at 1.23. The combined probability for 1X is 88.2%, which exceeds the implied odds, making it a valuable choice.

What is the Draw No Bet option for Independiente del Valle vs Delfin SC?

While exact Draw No Bet odds aren't provided, the 1X2 pricing suggests good value for Independiente at odds of 1.62 should the market offer, as a draw would see the stake returned without loss.

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