⚽
Over 2.5 Goals
NO @ 1.8
45% probability
🔁
YES @ 1.7
59% probability
BTTS Yes @ 1.7
Zaragoza's defensive struggles, conceding an average of 1.15 goals per
game, combined with Malaga's strong attacking form, scoring 2.1 goals per
game, suggest a high likelihood of both
teams finding the net. The BTTS Yes market offers value given these trends.
💡 Zaragoza has failed to
score in 40% of their last 20 matches, yet they have a 45% BTTS rate, indicating a tendency to engage in matches where both
teams can
score despite their offensive struggles.
Final Result
Zaragoza 0 : 2 Malaga
Our prediction: 2 ✓
With Zaragoza ranked 22nd and facing relegation, and Malaga positioned 4th aiming for promotion playoffs, this match on 31.05.2026 holds significant stakes. Zaragoza's recent form has been declining, with a mere 0.2 points per game recently, contrasting sharply with Malaga's stable performance. The expected goals model suggests a close contest with Malaga slightly favored.
Avg Scored0.75
Avg Conceded1.15
Over 2.525%
BTTS45%
Clean Sheets5
Avg Scored2.1
Avg Conceded1.3
Over 2.565%
BTTS65%
Clean Sheets7
⭐ Zaragoza — Key Players
| Player | Pos | G | A | Rating | Apps | KP |
|---|
| A. Giménez | Goalkeeper | 0 | 0 | 7.14 | 14 | 0 |
| Paulino | Midfielder | 0 | 0 | 6.93 | 8 | 4 |
| Francho Serrano | Midfielder | 1 | 6 | 6.85 | 34 | 41 |
| Raúl Guti | Midfielder | 0 | 1 | 6.83 | 26 | 23 |
| Sebas Moyano | Midfielder | 2 | 0 | 6.83 | 24 | 14 |
⭐ Malaga — Key Players
| Player | Pos | G | A | Rating | Apps | KP |
|---|
| Álex Pastor | Defender | 0 | 0 | 7.50 | 2 | 3 |
| David Larrubia | Midfielder | 10 | 3 | 7.32 | 38 | 50 |
| Diego Murillo | Defender | 2 | 0 | 7.16 | 35 | 9 |
| Alfonso Herrero | Goalkeeper | 0 | 0 | 7.14 | 41 | 1 |
| Chupe | Attacker | 22 | 5 | 7.07 | 38 | 31 |
📊 Additional Markets
Double Chance 1X2.05
Double Chance X21.18
Double Chance 121.22
Over 1.5 Goals1.25
Under 1.5 Goals3.75
Form & Season Statistics
Zaragoza's recent form of DLLLL, including a 1-3 loss to Sporting Gijon, highlights their challenges. They average 0.75 goals per game while conceding 1.15, and at home, they manage 1 goal per match. Clean sheets have been rare, with only 5 in 20 games. Conversely, Malaga's form of DWWWL shows resilience, scoring 2.1 goals per game and conceding 1.3. Their away performance is solid, with 2.1 goals scored per match. Malaga's offensive prowess is evident, led by Chupe's 22 goals this season, making them a formidable opponent.
Head-to-Head History
In the last 10 meetings, Zaragoza holds a slight edge with 3 wins to Malaga's 2, while 5 ended in draws. The average goals per match sit at 2.1, with 40% of these games seeing over 2.5 goals. Historically, both teams tend to score, with a BTTS rate of 70%. The venue has not significantly favored either side, indicating a balanced matchup.
Prediction & Best Bet
The prediction leans towards a Malaga victory, as indicated by their superior form and offensive capabilities. The model gives Malaga a 40% win probability. However, Zaragoza's home record suggests they could challenge, making a Double Chance on Malaga or Draw a safer option at odds of 1.18. Given both teams' scoring tendencies, BTTS Yes at odds of 1.7 is the recommended bet. The expected goals model supports a tight affair, projecting a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline.
Frequently Asked Questions
1
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Zaragoza vs Malaga?
The xG total of 2.69 and a 45% probability for over 2.5 goals, combined with Malaga's 65% over 2.5 rate, suggest a decent chance for over 2.5 goals. Priced at 1.8, this is a cautious yes.
2
With BTTS percentages of 45% for Zaragoza and 65% for Malaga, and a head-to-head BTTS rate of 70%, the
odds of 1.7 for BTTS Yes make this a likely outcome.
3
What is Zaragoza's recent form?
Zaragoza's last 5 results are DLLLL, scoring 4 and conceding 8. At home, they've achieved 4
wins and 5 clean sheets, but their form is declining with only 0.2 points per
game recently.
4
What is Malaga's away form this season?
Malaga's recent away form includes
wins at AD Ceuta FC and Eibar, scoring 2.1 goals per match on the road. They've won 8 away
games this season, showcasing their attacking strength.
5
What is at stake in Zaragoza vs Malaga?
Zaragoza, ranked 22nd with 36 points, are fighting relegation, while Malaga, 4th with 70 points, aim for promotion playoffs. The outcome could significantly impact both
teams' league ambitions.
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Segunda División31.05.2026
