Prediction Werder Bremen vs Borussia Dortmund | 16.05.2026 | Bundesliga

Werder Bremen hosts Borussia Dortmund in a high-stakes Bundesliga clash on 16.05.2026. Bremen battles relegation, sitting perilously at 15th. Dortmund eyes Champions League qualification from the second spot. This match is crucial for both, each fighting for entirely different reasons. Expect intensity and goals.

10.05.2026 08:03
GermanyBundesliga|16.05.2026
Werder Bremen
27%
VS
Borussia Dortmund
47%
27%
26%
47%
Werder BremenDraw 26%Borussia Dortmund
🏆
Prediction
Borussia Dortmund @ 1.84
Over 2.5 Goals
YES @ 1.57
57% probability
🔁
YES @ 1.53
51% probability
Model Confidence
88%
★ BEST BET
Over 1.5 @ 1.18
Werder Bremen struggles defensively, conceding 1.89 goals on average at home. Dortmund scores 1.44 per away game. Both teams likely to score, making over 1.5 goals a solid bet.
💡 Dortmund's away form is shaky with an average of 1.44 goals conceded. This vulnerability could be exploited by Werder Bremen's need for points.

Werder Bremen hosts Borussia Dortmund in a high-stakes Bundesliga clash on 16.05.2026. Bremen battles relegation, sitting perilously at 15th. Dortmund eyes Champions League qualification from the second spot. This match is crucial for both, each fighting for entirely different reasons. Expect intensity and goals.

📊 Team Statistics
Werder Bremen
LLDWL
5
Draws
11
Losses
Avg Scored0.95
Avg Conceded1.5
Over 2.545%
BTTS45%
Clean Sheets4
Borussia Dortmund
WLWLL
1
Draws
7
Losses
Avg Scored1.95
Avg Conceded1.35
Over 2.565%
BTTS50%
Clean Sheets6
โญ Werder Bremen โ€” Key Players
PlayerPosGARatingAppsKP
Mick SchmetgensDefender007.3020
M. BackhausGoalkeeper007.04310
R. SchmidMidfielder486.943388
M. FriedlDefender106.90295
S. MbangulaMidfielder326.832515
โญ Borussia Dortmund โ€” Key Players
PlayerPosGARatingAppsKP
R. BensebaรฏniDefender527.442110
D. RamajGoalkeeper007.4340
W. AntonDefender207.25318
G. KobelGoalkeeper007.17330
J. RyersonDefender0147.113054
๐Ÿ“Š Additional Markets
Double Chance 1X1.91
Double Chance X21.25
Double Chance 121.2
Over 1.5 Goals1.18
Under 1.5 Goals4.75

Verdict

Verdict: Dortmund has the edge but expect goals. Werder's home defensive record is poor, and Dortmund's attack is potent. S. Guirassy and J. Ryerson are key to Dortmund's chances. The odds favor Dortmund at 1.84, but the over 1.5 goals bet at 1.18 offers more value given both teams' defensive vulnerabilities. Expect a dynamic match with goals from both sides.

 

Focus: Werder Bremen

Focus: Werder Bremen. Form is inconsistent, reflected in their 15th place standing with 32 points. They employ a 4-2-3-1 formation, often struggling defensively, conceding 1.89 goals per home match. Key player R. Schmid contributes with 4 goals and 8 assists. Their home record shows 5 wins, indicating potential but also vulnerability. Clean sheets are rare, just 3 at home, highlighting defensive frailties.

The Visitors: Borussia Dortmund

The Visitors: Borussia Dortmund. They're second in the league but not invincible. Recent form away from home is mixed, with 1.44 goals scored and conceded on average. S. Guirassy leads the attack with 16 goals this season. Defensively, they have 5 clean sheets on the road. Dortmund's attacking mindset is evident with a 3-4-2-1 setup, aiming to exploit Bremen's defensive issues.

Frequently Asked Questions

1
What are the odds for Werder Bremen vs Borussia Dortmund?
Werder Bremen: 3.70, Draw: 3.90, Borussia Dortmund: 1.84. Dortmund's odds imply a 54.35% chance, higher than model's 47%. Value lies in Dortmund win.
2
What is the correct score prediction for Werder Bremen vs Borussia Dortmund?
The model suggests a 1-1 draw as the most likely score. However, given Dortmund's offensive prowess and Bremen's defensive issues, a 2-1 win for Dortmund aligns with xG values.
3
What is the best bet for Werder Bremen vs Borussia Dortmund?
Best bet: Over 1.5 goals at odds of 1.18. Model probability is 80%, higher than implied odds, offering a value edge.
4
Is the Double Chance bet worth it for Werder Bremen vs Borussia Dortmund?
Double Chance 1X: 1.91, X2: 1.25, 12: 1.20. X2 at 1.25 is worth considering with Dortmund's 47% win probability, aligning with model's 45%.
5
Are there injury concerns for Werder Bremen vs Borussia Dortmund?
Both squads appear fit with no significant injury concerns reported. Full-strength teams should heighten the match's competitive edge.

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