Saint EtienneDraw 25%Nice
🏆
Prediction
Saint Etienne @ 2.34
⚽
Over 2.5 Goals
NO @ 1.7
49% probability
🔁
NO @ 1.53
41% probability
Saint Etienne shows stronger home performance with 1.73 goals scored on average per home
game, compared to Nice's away struggles with only 1 goal scored per
game. The expected goals model favors Saint Etienne with an xG of 1.63.
💡 Saint Etienne's recent home form has been robust, with an average concession rate of just 0.73 goals per
game, indicating a strong defensive setup.
Final Result
Saint Etienne 0 : 0 Nice
Our prediction: 1 โ
Saint Etienne hosts Nice on 26th May 2026 in Ligue 1. With Saint Etienne's distinct home advantage, scoring 1.73 goals per game and conceding only 0.73, they are poised to leverage their superior performance against a Nice team that struggles away with a goal difference of -23 for the season. Currently ranked 16th, Nice is battling relegation pressure, adding high stakes to this encounter.
Avg Scored1.35
Avg Conceded0.85
Over 2.550%
BTTS35%
Clean Sheets9
Avg Scored1.05
Avg Conceded1.4
Over 2.540%
BTTS45%
Clean Sheets6
โญ Saint Etienne โ Key Players
| Player | Pos | G | A | Rating | Apps | KP |
|---|
| M. Bernauer | Defender | 0 | 0 | 8.20 | 1 | 0 |
| G. Larsonneur | Goalkeeper | 0 | 0 | 8.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Z. Davitashvili | Midfielder | 0 | 0 | 8.00 | 1 | 5 |
| A. Kantรฉ | Midfielder | 0 | 0 | 7.90 | 1 | 0 |
| J. Le Cardinal | Defender | 0 | 0 | 7.50 | 1 | 0 |
โญ Nice โ Key Players
| Player | Pos | G | A | Rating | Apps | KP |
|---|
| Y. Diouf | Goalkeeper | 0 | 0 | 7.01 | 26 | 0 |
| J. Clauss | Midfielder | 1 | 6 | 6.99 | 30 | 66 |
| S. Diop | Midfielder | 8 | 2 | 6.92 | 33 | 35 |
| K. Peprah Oppong | Defender | 1 | 0 | 6.82 | 29 | 6 |
| H. Boudaoui | Midfielder | 1 | 2 | 6.82 | 25 | 17 |
๐ Additional Markets
Double Chance 1X1.36
Double Chance X21.57
Double Chance 121.3
Over 1.5 Goals1.22
Under 1.5 Goals4.2
Form & Season Statistics
Saint Etienne has shown a mixed bag of results in their last five matches, recording two wins and three losses. Despite a downtrend, their season stats show a solid home performance with 1.73 goals scored per game and nine clean sheets overall. They have a goal-scoring average of 1.35 per match, indicating a potent attack, especially at home. In contrast, Nice's last five matches include one win, three draws, and a loss, demonstrating a tendency towards stalemates. Their away form has been less impressive, averaging 1 goal scored and 1.8 conceded per match. Nice's defensive vulnerabilities are highlighted by their higher goals against average, suggesting potential struggles against Saint Etienne's attack.
Head-to-Head History
Historically, Nice has dominated the head-to-head encounters, winning six of the last ten meetings against Saint Etienne, who have only managed two victories. The average of 3.4 goals per match in these encounters suggests an open game, with 70% of the matches exceeding 2.5 goals. However, Saint Etienne's recent home performances could shift this dynamic, especially considering their defensive strength at home. The last meeting ended in a 2-1 victory for Nice, but with Saint Etienne's improved home form, they might reverse this trend.
Prediction & Best Bet
Based on current statistics, Saint Etienne is favored to win with a probability of 54% according to the model, offering odds of 2.34. Their home advantage is significant, scoring 1.73 goals per game while conceding just 0.73. Nice's away struggles, with only 1 goal scored per game, further support this prediction. The Double Chance market suggests safety in backing Saint Etienne or a draw, priced at 1.36, due to Nice's propensity for draws. Given the expected goals model and recent form, a Saint Etienne win is the most likely outcome.
Frequently Asked Questions
1
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Saint Etienne vs Nice?
The expectation of over 2.5 goals is moderate at 49%, with
odds of 1.70. Given the historical average of 3.4 goals in their encounters, it is likely but not certain.
2
With a BTTS percentage of 41% for this match and
odds of 1.53 for BTTS Yes, it is plausible but not guaranteed. Saint Etienne's strong home defense suggests Nice may struggle to
score.
3
What is Saint Etienne's recent form?
Saint Etienne's recent form is declining with two
wins and three losses in their last five matches. At home, they have been strong,
winning 1.73 goals per
game and securing nine clean sheets.
4
What is Nice's away form this season?
Nice's away form this season includes three
wins and eleven losses, with an average of 1 goal scored per away match, indicating struggles on the road.
5
What is at stake in Saint Etienne vs Nice?
Nice, ranked 16th with 32 points, is battling to avoid relegation playoffs. A
win is crucial to improve their standing, while Saint Etienne could solidify their mid-table position.
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Ligue 126.05.2026
