NiceDraw 29%Saint Etienne
⚽
Over 2.5 Goals
YES
50% probability
Saint Etienne's recent form suggests they have the upper hand, having scored more consistently than Nice. With Nice's declining trend and Saint Etienne's solid defensive performances, the
odds of 2.80
offer value considering the model's 36% probability of a Saint Etienne
win.
💡 Saint Etienne's ability to maintain clean sheets, with nine in their last 20 matches, could be crucial against Nice's struggling attack.
Final Result
Nice 4 : 1 Saint Etienne
Our prediction: 2 โ
The Allianz Riviera in Nice is buzzing with anticipation as the home side faces Saint Etienne in a crucial Ligue 1 clash. With Nice sitting precariously in 16th place, every point matters to avoid the relegation playoffs. Saint Etienne, though without standing data, arrives with a solid recent record, making this an intriguing matchup. The stakes are high, and both teams are eager to prove their mettle on the grass pitch.
Avg Scored0.9
Avg Conceded1.5
Over 2.540%
BTTS45%
Clean Sheets6
Avg Scored1.35
Avg Conceded0.85
Over 2.550%
BTTS35%
Clean Sheets9
๐๏ธVenue
Allianz Riviera, Nice
35,624 capacity ยท Grass
โญ Nice โ Key Players
| Player | Pos | G | A | Rating | Apps | KP |
|---|
| Y. Diouf | Goalkeeper | 0 | 0 | 7.01 | 26 | 0 |
| J. Clauss | Midfielder | 1 | 6 | 6.99 | 30 | 66 |
| S. Diop | Midfielder | 8 | 2 | 6.92 | 33 | 35 |
| K. Peprah Oppong | Defender | 1 | 0 | 6.82 | 29 | 6 |
| H. Boudaoui | Midfielder | 1 | 2 | 6.82 | 25 | 17 |
โญ Saint Etienne โ Key Players
| Player | Pos | G | A | Rating | Apps | KP |
|---|
| M. Bernauer | Defender | 0 | 0 | 8.20 | 1 | 0 |
| G. Larsonneur | Goalkeeper | 0 | 0 | 8.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Z. Davitashvili | Midfielder | 0 | 0 | 8.00 | 1 | 5 |
| A. Kantรฉ | Midfielder | 0 | 0 | 7.90 | 1 | 0 |
| J. Le Cardinal | Defender | 0 | 0 | 7.50 | 1 | 0 |
Match Verdict
Saint Etienne is favored to edge this encounter, priced at 2.80. Their defensive solidity, combined with Nice's struggles in front of goal, suggests a narrow victory for the visitors. The expected goals model gives Nice an xG of 1.06 and Saint Etienne 1.26, indicating a slight advantage for the away side. With players like Z. Davitashvili adding creative flair and Saint Etienne's ability to exploit Nice's defensive vulnerabilities, a 1-0 win for the visitors aligns with the most likely score prediction.
Tactical Breakdown
Both teams set up in a 4-2-3-1 formation, promising a tactical battle in midfield. Nice relies heavily on S. Diop, who has netted 8 goals this season, to spark creativity. His interplay with H. Boudaoui, known for his key passes, could be pivotal. Meanwhile, Saint Etienne's defense, marshaled by M. Bernauer, aims to stifle Diop's influence. The midfield battle will be critical, with J. Clauss's ability to deliver precise passes potentially tipping the scales in Nice's favor. However, Saint Etienne's midfield, led by A. Kantรฉ, is adept at breaking up play and launching counterattacks, giving them a slight edge.
Statistical Edge
Nice's season has been characterized by inconsistency, averaging just 0.9 goals per game. Their home form shows they score slightly better, netting 1.1 goals on average, but they concede heavily at 1.89 per match. In contrast, Saint Etienne boasts a stronger defensive record, conceding an average of just 0.85 goals per game. Their ability to keep clean sheets in 45% of their matches is a significant advantage. Nice's attack has been more effective in the first half, scoring 24 of their total goals, while Saint Etienne's consistent scoring across both halves gives them a balanced approach.
Frequently Asked Questions
1
What are the
odds for Nice vs Saint Etienne?
Nice is priced at 2.86, a draw at 3.45, and Saint Etienne at 2.80. The model suggests Saint Etienne has a 36% chance to
win, making the
odds of 2.80 represent a slight value.
2
What is the correct
score prediction for Nice vs Saint Etienne?
The most likely
score according to the model is 1-1. However, considering Saint Etienne's defensive strength and Nice's scoring struggles, a 1-0
win for Saint Etienne is predicted.
3
What is the best
bet for Nice vs Saint Etienne?
The best value
bet is Saint Etienne to
win at
odds of 2.80. The model gives them a 36% probability of
winning, which is slightly better than the implied
odds probability.
4
What is Saint Etienne's away form this season?
In their last five away matches, Saint Etienne has WLDLL, scoring an average of 0.89 goals per match and conceding 1 goal per match.
5
What is at stake in Nice vs Saint Etienne?
Nice is in 16th place, fighting to avoid relegation playoffs. With 32 points, they are desperate to secure a
win and climb out of danger. Saint Etienne's position is less clear, but they aim to capitalize on Nice's vulnerabilities.
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Ligue 129.05.2026
