NewcastleDraw 26%West Ham
🏆
Prediction
Newcastle @ 2.05
⚽
Over 2.5 Goals
YES @ 1.48
64% probability
🔁
YES @ 1.42
71% probability
Newcastle's attacking prowess at home, averaging 1.78 goals per
game, gives them an edge against a West Ham side struggling defensively on the road, conceding an average of 1.56 goals. With players like Bruno Guimarรฃes influencing the midfield, Newcastle looks likely to capitalize.
💡 Newcastle's ability to
score in the first half, with 32 goals, could unsettle West Ham early, especially given their recent defensive lapses away.
Final Result
Newcastle 3 : 1 West Ham
Our prediction: 1 โ
St. James' Park in Newcastle upon Tyne buzzes with anticipation as Newcastle faces West Ham in a Premier League clash. Both teams are eyeing crucial points; Newcastle seeks to solidify their mid-table position, while West Ham battles to escape relegation. The tension is palpable, with the home side buoyed by their recent win against Brighton, contrasting with West Ham's precarious standing. Fans anticipate a high-stakes encounter with both sides eager to secure a vital win.
Avg Scored1.75
Avg Conceded2.05
Over 2.580%
BTTS90%
Clean Sheets1
Avg Scored1.4
Avg Conceded1.3
Over 2.555%
BTTS55%
Clean Sheets6
๐๏ธVenue
St. James' Park, Newcastle upon Tyne
52,758 capacity ยท Grass
โญ Newcastle โ Key Players
| Player | Pos | G | A | Rating | Apps | KP |
|---|
| Bruno Guimarรฃes | Midfielder | 9 | 5 | 7.48 | 27 | 46 |
| F. Schรคr | Defender | 0 | 0 | 7.12 | 16 | 4 |
| A. Gordon | Attacker | 6 | 2 | 7.08 | 26 | 26 |
| M. Thiaw | Defender | 4 | 0 | 7.05 | 33 | 6 |
| S. Botman | Defender | 1 | 1 | 7.03 | 23 | 8 |
โญ West Ham โ Key Players
| Player | Pos | G | A | Rating | Apps | KP |
|---|
| K. Mavropanos | Defender | 3 | 0 | 7.03 | 29 | 4 |
| J. Bowen | Attacker | 8 | 10 | 6.98 | 36 | 43 |
| J. Ward-Prowse | Midfielder | 0 | 0 | 6.90 | 5 | 12 |
| Lucas Paquetรก | Attacker | 4 | 1 | 6.89 | 18 | 23 |
| M. Hermansen | Goalkeeper | 0 | 0 | 6.84 | 16 | 1 |
๐ Additional Markets
Double Chance 1X1.35
Double Chance X21.73
Double Chance 121.2
Over 1.5 Goals1.15
Under 1.5 Goals5.25
Match Verdict
Newcastle's attacking setup and home advantage make them favorites, priced at odds of 2.05. Despite recent form dips, their scoring ability at St. James' Park is notable. West Ham's defensive vulnerabilities on the road could be exploited, especially with Newcastle's tendency to score early. A 2-1 result aligns with expected goals, where Newcastle's xG of 1.88 outweighs West Ham's 1.19, further supporting a home victory.
Tactical Breakdown
Newcastle lines up in a 4-3-3 formation, leveraging the creative flair of Bruno Guimarรฃes in midfield, whose 9 goals and 5 assists highlight his influence. Their attack focuses on quick transitions and exploiting width, with Anthony Gordon offering pace and directness on the flank. West Ham counters with a 4-2-3-1 setup, relying on Jarrod Bowen's dual threat as a scorer and playmaker, evidenced by his 8 goals and 10 assists. The midfield battle is critical, where Newcastle's ability to maintain possession and control tempo could dictate the game's flow. West Ham, aiming for solidity, will need disciplined defending and quick counters to unsettle the hosts.
Statistical Edge
Newcastle scores an average of 1.75 goals per match, with a notable first-half scoring trend, netting 32 goals. Their home form is strong, with 9 wins and an average of 1.78 goals scored. West Ham, meanwhile, struggles away, averaging 1.11 goals per match but conceding 1.56. Clean sheet rates favor Newcastle, who have failed to score only once at home. West Ham's away clean sheets are sparse, and their defensive resilience will be tested against Newcastle's potent attack.
Frequently Asked Questions
1
What are the
odds for Newcastle vs West Ham?
Newcastle: 2.05, Draw: 3.75, West Ham: 3.15. Implied probabilities are 48.78%, 26.67%, and 31.75% respectively. Newcastle's
odds represent value against the model's 50%
win probability.
2
What is the correct
score prediction for Newcastle vs West Ham?
The model's most likely
score is 1-1, but the prediction leans towards a 2-1 victory for Newcastle, considering their xG of 1.88 surpasses West Ham's 1.19.
3
What is the best
bet for Newcastle vs West Ham?
The best value
bet is Newcastle
Win at
odds of 2.05. The model gives a 50%
win probability, higher than the implied 48.78%, suggesting value in the market.
4
What is West Ham's away form this season?
West Ham's last five away results include a 3-0 loss to Brentford and a 0-0 draw with Crystal Palace. They average 1.11 goals scored and 1.56 conceded per away match.
5
What is at stake in Newcastle vs West Ham?
Newcastle sits 13th with 46 points, aiming to secure a mid-table finish. West Ham, 18th with 36 points, desperately needs points to escape relegation, trailing safety by a narrow margin.
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Premier League17.05.2026
