Most analysts will argue that Celtic, sitting higher in the standings, should dominate this fixture. However, playing at Fir Park, Motherwell’s fortress in the city of Motherwell, provides a different narrative. Despite Celtic’s impressive form, the home side has shown resilience and tactical acumen, especially in their defensive setup. With both teams in the championship round, the stakes are high, and the outcome could defy common expectations.
Prediction Motherwell vs Celtic | 13.05.2026 | Premiership
09.05.2026
05:27
Premiership13.05.2026
Motherwell
55%
VS
Celtic
20%
Prediction
Motherwell @ 2.95
Over 2.5 Goals
YES @ 1.54
53% probability
★ BEST BET
Motherwell Win @ 2.95
Most analysts will say Celtic is the favorite due to their higher league position and recent form. However, look at what the data actually shows: Motherwell's home performance is exceptional with an average of 1.7 goals scored and only 0.4 conceded per game. The calculated model even suggests a higher expected goal rate for Motherwell.
💡 Motherwell's defensive record at home is formidable, with 12 clean sheets this season, suggesting Celtic's attacking prowess may be stifled.
Most analysts will argue that Celtic, sitting higher in the standings, should dominate this fixture. However, playing at Fir Park, Motherwell's fortress in the city of Motherwell, provides a different narrative. Despite Celtic's impressive form, the home side has shown resilience and tactical acumen, especially in their defensive setup. With both teams in the championship round, the stakes are high, and the outcome could defy common expectations.
Team Statistics
Venue
Fir Park, Motherwell
13,742 capacity ยท Grass
โญ Motherwell โ Key Players
| Player | Pos | G | A | Rating | Apps | KP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Watt | Midfielder | 5 | 3 | 7.62 | 31 | 36 |
| C. Ward | Goalkeeper | 0 | 0 | 7.23 | 35 | 3 |
| P. McGinn | Defender | 0 | 0 | 7.16 | 33 | 11 |
| E. Just | Midfielder | 7 | 7 | 7.12 | 32 | 45 |
| C. Slattery | Midfielder | 3 | 8 | 7.05 | 28 | 43 |
โญ Celtic โ Key Players
| Player | Pos | G | A | Rating | Apps | KP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Johnston | Defender | 0 | 1 | 7.43 | 4 | 7 |
| C. Carter-Vickers | Defender | 0 | 0 | 7.36 | 7 | 1 |
| K. Tierney | Defender | 6 | 7 | 7.32 | 32 | 49 |
| L. Scales | Defender | 0 | 3 | 7.21 | 34 | 14 |
| B. Nygren | Midfielder | 15 | 5 | 7.19 | 35 | 58 |
๐ Additional Markets
Double Chance 1X1.61
Double Chance X21.36
Double Chance 121.26
Over 1.5 Goals1.15
Under 1.5 Goals5
Form & Key Players
Celtic comes into this match with a strong recent form, winning four of their last five games. Key players like B. Nygren, with 15 goals this season, are expected to be major threats. However, Motherwell's E. Just and E. Watt, contributing significantly with combined 12 goals and 10 assists, have been pivotal in their offensive plays. While Celtic's attacking lineup appears formidable, Motherwell's ability to counter through their creative midfielders could be the deciding factor. Recent form suggests Celtic might have the edge, but Motherwell's key players could disrupt the narrative.
Match Prediction
The prediction market might heavily favor Celtic, but Motherwell's home statistics and defensive organization present a compelling case for an upset. Motherwell has shown they can hold their own against top sides, especially at home. With odds of 2.95 for a Motherwell win, the value lies with the hosts. Their ability to maintain clean sheets at home, coupled with Celtic's occasional struggles away, suggests a potential surprise at Fir Park. Could Motherwell's defensive discipline and counter-attacking threat defy the odds?
Home Ground Advantage
Home Ground Advantage
Frequently Asked Questions
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What is Motherwell's recent form?
Motherwell's last 5 results: L, W, L, L, D. At home, they have 10 wins and average 1.7 goals scored, with 12 clean sheets. Their form is declining, but home performance remains strong.
4
What is at stake in Motherwell vs Celtic?
Motherwell, ranked 4th with 54 points, are in contention for European competition. A win could close the gap with 3rd-placed Celtic, who have 67 points.
5
Are there injury concerns for Motherwell vs Celtic?
Both squads appear fit with no significant injuries reported. This allows both teams to field their strongest lineups, potentially impacting the match outcome significantly.
