🏆
Prediction
Leganes @ 1.85
⚽
Over 2.5 Goals
YES @ 1.9
56% probability
🔁
YES @ 1.75
57% probability
Leganes, stronger at home, are poised to exploit Huesca's poor away form. Leganes average 1.6 goals at home, while Huesca concedes 2.6 on the road. Dominance in past meetings adds confidence.
💡 Huesca's defense on the road is leaky, averaging 2.6 goals conceded per
game. This vulnerability is crucial against a Leganes side that thrives at home.
Final Result
Leganes 0 : 0 Huesca
Our prediction: 1 ✗
Leganes face Huesca at the Estadio Municipal de Butarque in Leganés. Stakes are high. Leganes sits precariously close to the drop zone, while Huesca clings to survival hopes. Home advantage could be decisive. Leganes have a solid home record, contrasting Huesca's struggles on the road. Expect a battle where every point matters. The outcome could shape the relegation battle.
Avg Scored1.25
Avg Conceded1.4
Over 2.555%
BTTS55%
Clean Sheets5
Avg Scored1.1
Avg Conceded1.85
Over 2.555%
BTTS70%
Clean Sheets4
🏟️Venue
Estadio Municipal de Butarque, Leganés
12,450 capacity · Grass
⭐ Leganes — Key Players
| Player | Pos | G | A | Rating | Apps | KP |
|---|
| Juan Soriano | Goalkeeper | 0 | 0 | 7.04 | 39 | 1 |
| Duk | Midfielder | 4 | 5 | 6.99 | 35 | 34 |
| Lalo Aguilar | Defender | 0 | 0 | 6.91 | 30 | 11 |
| Rubén Peña | Defender | 1 | 2 | 6.90 | 20 | 19 |
| Ignasi Miquel | Defender | 0 | 0 | 6.90 | 26 | 4 |
⭐ Huesca — Key Players
| Player | Pos | G | A | Rating | Apps | KP |
|---|
| Óscar Sielva | Midfielder | 7 | 5 | 7.06 | 34 | 36 |
| Dani Jiménez | Goalkeeper | 0 | 0 | 7.05 | 37 | 1 |
| Jesús Álvarez | Midfielder | 0 | 0 | 6.93 | 33 | 8 |
| Iker Kortajarena | Midfielder | 2 | 3 | 6.79 | 23 | 21 |
| Jorge Pulido | Defender | 3 | 2 | 6.76 | 34 | 11 |
📊 Additional Markets
Double Chance 1X1.22
Double Chance X21.85
Double Chance 121.3
Over 1.5 Goals1.25
Under 1.5 Goals3.75
Verdict
Leganes to edge out Huesca. The stats favor a home win, with Leganes priced at 1.85. Key players like Duk will be crucial. Huesca's leaky defense, conceding 2.6 away, is a liability. Leganes' xG of 3.25 versus Huesca's 0.92 suggests a decisive home performance. With a 76% probability for a Leganes win, the odds present value. Expect Leganes to capitalize on home advantage and Huesca's defensive woes.
Focus: Leganes
Leganes have been inconsistent but show flashes of brilliance at home. Recent form is troubling: four losses followed by a crucial win. At home, they average 1.6 goals per game, a stat that could unsettle Huesca's fragile defense. Duk is pivotal, contributing four goals and five assists, vital in their 4-2-3-1 setup. The defense, led by Lalo Aguilar and Rubén Peña, aims to tighten up. Leganes' home form gives them a slight edge, having recorded six wins this season at Estadio Municipal de Butarque.
The Visitors: Huesca
Huesca's away form is dismal. Two wins in 19 outings highlight their struggles. They concede heavily, averaging 2.6 goals per game, a glaring weakness. Óscar Sielva is their standout, with seven goals and five assists, yet he's often isolated. The 4-2-3-1 formation lacks defensive solidity, especially on the road. With relegation looming, Huesca's need to resolve their defensive lapses is urgent. Their last away win feels like a distant memory, and the odds are stacked against them in Leganés.
Frequently Asked Questions
1
What are the
odds for Leganes vs Huesca?
Leganes
odds of 1.85 (54% implied), Draw at 3.4 (29% implied), Huesca at 3.8 (26% implied). Leganes offers value given their 76%
win probability from the model.
2
What is the correct
score prediction for Leganes vs Huesca?
Model suggests 3-0. Leganes' xG of 3.25 heavily outweighs Huesca's 0.92, aligning with a dominant home
win.
3
What is the best
bet for Leganes vs Huesca?
Leganes to
win at
odds of 1.85. Model probability of 76% provides a strong value edge over implied
odds probability of 54%.
4
Is the Double Chance
bet worth it for Leganes vs Huesca?
1X priced at 1.22 (82% implied), X2 at 1.85 (54% implied), 12 at 1.3 (77% implied). 1X offers security with high probability, aligning with model's home
win confidence.
5
Are there injury concerns for Leganes vs Huesca?
Both squads appear fit with no significant injuries reported, ensuring full-strength line-ups. This stability favors Leganes' home advantage.
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Segunda División18.05.2026
