JuventusDraw 18%Fiorentina
🏆
Prediction
Juventus @ 1.31
⚽
Over 2.5 Goals
NO @ 1.57
48% probability
Over 1.5 @ 1.18
Juventus scores an average of 1.7 goals per
game, Fiorentina concedes 1.25. High probability for more than one goal. Data-driven decision.
💡 Juventus's improving trend and Fiorentina's decline make this a
game where momentum heavily favors the home side.
Final Result
Juventus 0 : 2 Fiorentina
Our prediction: 1 โ
Juventus clash with Fiorentina on 17th May 2026 in Serie A. Juventus, in top form, are pushing for a strong finish. Fiorentina struggle, hovering near the relegation zone. The stakes are high. Juventus look to cement their Champions League spot, while Fiorentina desperately seek points to climb the standings. This match could define their seasons.
Avg Scored1.7
Avg Conceded1.15
Over 2.545%
BTTS40%
Clean Sheets10
Avg Scored1.25
Avg Conceded1.25
Over 2.560%
BTTS50%
Clean Sheets7
โญ Juventus โ Key Players
| Player | Pos | G | A | Rating | Apps | KP |
|---|
| M. Locatelli | Midfielder | 1 | 2 | 7.71 | 34 | 45 |
| K. Yฤฑldฤฑz | Attacker | 10 | 6 | 7.41 | 35 | 73 |
| Bremer | Defender | 4 | 3 | 7.14 | 25 | 8 |
| L. Kelly | Defender | 1 | 1 | 7.04 | 33 | 9 |
| Francisco Conceiรงรฃo | Attacker | 3 | 4 | 7.01 | 29 | 37 |
โญ Fiorentina โ Key Players
| Player | Pos | G | A | Rating | Apps | KP |
|---|
| N. Fagioli | Midfielder | 2 | 3 | 7.25 | 32 | 61 |
| R. Mandragora | Midfielder | 6 | 3 | 7.01 | 32 | 34 |
| Dodรด | Midfielder | 1 | 2 | 6.98 | 34 | 48 |
| David de Gea | Goalkeeper | 0 | 0 | 6.94 | 36 | 1 |
| L. Ranieri | Defender | 1 | 0 | 6.87 | 33 | 7 |
๐ Additional Markets
Double Chance 1X1.05
Double Chance X23.35
Double Chance 121.15
Over 1.5 Goals1.18
Under 1.5 Goals4.75
Verdict
Juventus are clear favorites with a 73% win probability. Fiorentina's chances look slim at 9%. Players like Bremer in defense and Yฤฑldฤฑz in attack will be crucial. Odds of 1.31 for Juventus suggest strong backing. The data-driven prediction leans heavily on Juventus's home form and Fiorentina's struggles. With Juventus's expected goals at 2.73, a 2-0 victory seems likely. Fiorentina's declining form makes a comeback improbable.
Focus: Juventus
Juventus sit third in the league with a strong record. Theyโve won 10 of their last 20 matches. At home, they score an average of 2 goals per game, conceding just 0.8. Key players like K. Yฤฑldฤฑz, with 10 goals and 6 assists, lead the charge. M. Locatelli orchestrates the midfield with a 7.71 rating. Their 3-4-2-1 formation is compact and effective. Recent form shows improvement, with a trend of 2.2 points per game. Juventusโs home fortress boasts 8 clean sheets this season, indicating a robust defense. Expect them to control the match.
The Visitors: Fiorentina
Fiorentina struggle on the road. They average 1.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per away game. Their form is declining, with only one win in the last five matches. R. Mandragora is a key attacking threat, having scored 6 goals. Defensive lapses are evident, with only 3 clean sheets away. Recent heavy losses, like 4-0 against AS Roma, highlight vulnerabilities. With a 4-3-3 setup, they often find themselves exposed. Fiorentina's fight is uphill, and their current form doesn't inspire confidence.
Frequently Asked Questions
1
What are the
odds for Juventus vs Fiorentina?
Juventus: 1.31, Draw: 5.2, Fiorentina: 9.1. Implied probabilities: Juventus 76.3%, Draw 19.2%, Fiorentina 11%. Juventus's
odds offer the best value given the model's 73%
win probability.
2
What is the correct
score prediction for Juventus vs Fiorentina?
Most likely
score: 2-0. Model predicts Juventus's xG at 2.73, Fiorentina at 0.72. Juventus's solid defense and Fiorentina's weak attack suggest a clean sheet.
3
What is the best
bet for Juventus vs Fiorentina?
Best value
bet: Over 1.5 goals at
odds of 1.18. Model probability for over 1.5 goals is 86%, providing a significant edge over the implied
odds probability of 84.7%.
4
Is the Double Chance
bet worth it for Juventus vs Fiorentina?
Double Chance 1X is at
odds of 1.05, X2 at 3.35, 12 at 1.15. Combined probability for 1X is 95.2%, offering a safe but low-value option compared to the implied probability of 95.2%.
5
Are there injury concerns for Juventus vs Fiorentina?
No significant injuries reported. Both squads appear fit, allowing each
team to field their strongest line-ups, thus not affecting the prediction.
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Serie A17.05.2026
