Granada CFDraw 17%Sporting Gijon
⚽
Over 2.5 Goals
YES
59% probability
Most analysts will point to Granada's recent losses, but the data shows their home scoring rate of 1.7 goals per
game is significant. Sporting Gijon struggles defensively away, conceding 1.73 per match. Combined with Granada's solid home form, this makes them a strong candidate.
💡 While Sporting Gijon is perceived as more stable, their away form is deceptive, with a high rate of goals conceded late in matches.
Final Result
Granada CF 1 : 2 Sporting Gijon
Our prediction: 1 ✗
Most will see Granada CF's recent form and dismiss their chances against Sporting Gijon. But look closer at the Estadio Nuevo Los Cármenes in Granada. The stakes are high as both teams aim to improve their standings. Granada needs to leverage their home advantage, while Sporting Gijon will try to overcome their away vulnerabilities.
Avg Scored1.4
Avg Conceded1.4
Over 2.540%
BTTS45%
Clean Sheets6
Avg Scored1.55
Avg Conceded1.3
Over 2.560%
BTTS60%
Clean Sheets4
🏟️Venue
Estadio Nuevo Los Cármenes, Granada
23,156 capacity · Grass
⭐ Granada CF — Key Players
| Player | Pos | G | A | Rating | Apps | KP |
|---|
| L. Zidane | Goalkeeper | 0 | 0 | 7.02 | 26 | 4 |
| Manu Lama | Defender | 3 | 1 | 6.99 | 32 | 6 |
| Sergio Ruiz | Midfielder | 0 | 2 | 6.88 | 32 | 23 |
| Loïc Williams | Defender | 0 | 0 | 6.86 | 35 | 10 |
| M. Hongla | Midfielder | 1 | 0 | 6.80 | 4 | 2 |
⭐ Sporting Gijon — Key Players
| Player | Pos | G | A | Rating | Apps | KP |
|---|
| Jonathan Dubasin | Midfielder | 16 | 3 | 7.09 | 35 | 26 |
| J. Otero | Attacker | 13 | 12 | 7.09 | 33 | 31 |
| Pablo Vázquez | Defender | 3 | 1 | 7.03 | 35 | 8 |
| César Gelabert | Midfielder | 8 | 3 | 7.01 | 39 | 77 |
| Álex Corredera | Midfielder | 1 | 2 | 6.99 | 37 | 51 |
Granada CF's recent form may seem bleak with losses, but key players like Manu Lama offer hope with crucial goals. Sporting Gijon's Jonathan Dubasin, with 16 goals, is a formidable threat, yet their away form remains shaky. Granada's Sergio Ruiz provides creative depth, while J. Otero's 12 assists for Gijon highlight his playmaking ability. The form book tells one story, but individual brilliance from these players can change the narrative.
Form & Key Players
Most expect a straightforward win for Granada CF, priced at 1.72. Their home scoring prowess is likely to outshine Sporting Gijon's travel woes. Despite recent losses, Granada's ability to score frequently at home should tip the balance. Sporting's inconsistent away form could prove their undoing, making a home win the logical choice.
Match Prediction
Granada CF’s Estadio Nuevo Los Cármenes presents a unique advantage. While Granada CF sits lower in the standings, they have scored 1.7 goals per game at home. Sporting Gijon, on the other hand, concedes an average of 1.73 goals per away game, highlighting a key weakness. Additionally, Granada has kept six clean sheets at home, emphasizing their defensive strength in familiar surroundings. This venue has seen Granada outperform expectations, especially against higher-ranked teams, making their home ground a critical factor.
Home Ground Advantage
Frequently Asked Questions
1
Who will
win Granada CF vs Sporting Gijon?
Granada CF is predicted to
win with a 58% probability. Granada's home scoring average of 1.7 goals and Sporting Gijon's 1.73 goals conceded away are crucial factors.
2
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Granada CF vs Sporting Gijon?
Yes, there is a 59% chance for over 2.5 goals. With the expected goals total at 3.36 and high-scoring head-to-head history, the
odds support this outcome.
3
What is Granada CF's recent form?
Granada CF's last 5 results are LLWLL, scoring 6 goals at home with 6 clean sheets. Their form is declining, but home performance remains a strength.
4
What is at stake in Granada CF vs Sporting Gijon?
Granada CF, ranked 14th with 48 points, seeks to close the gap with 12th-placed Sporting Gijon on 55 points. Neither
team faces immediate relegation or promotion threats.
5
Are there injury concerns for Granada CF vs Sporting Gijon?
Both squads appear fit with no significant injuries reported. This ensures both
teams can field their strongest line-ups.
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Segunda División30.05.2026
