⚽
Over 2.5 Goals
YES
52% probability
Gent are priced at
odds of 2.56 to
win, and here's why: Despite a rough patch, Gent's home performance shows promise with an average of 1.2 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. Genk's recent form has been steady but not spectacular, and they tend to concede goals away from home.
💡 Genk's away form shows they concede almost two goals a
game, which could give Gent the edge, especially if they capitalize on home advantage.
Final Result
Gent 0 : 0 Genk
Our prediction: 1 โ
Hey there, football fans! This is a big one as Gent takes on Genk at the Planet Group Arena in Gent. Both teams are fighting for a strong finish in the league, and with Gent's current form not being the best, they'll be eager to prove themselves in front of their home crowd. Genk, on the other hand, will aim to maintain their stable run. It's set to be a thrilling encounter!
Avg Scored1.25
Avg Conceded1.4
Over 2.545%
BTTS50%
Clean Sheets5
Avg Scored1.6
Avg Conceded1.35
Over 2.555%
BTTS50%
Clean Sheets8
๐๏ธVenue
Planet Group Arena, Gent
20,185 capacity ยท Grass
โญ Gent โ Key Players
| Player | Pos | G | A | Rating | Apps | KP |
|---|
| D. Roef | Goalkeeper | 0 | 0 | 7.28 | 40 | 3 |
| T. De Vlieger | Midfielder | 0 | 0 | 7.19 | 24 | 13 |
| M. Skรณraล | Midfielder | 2 | 7 | 7.03 | 31 | 58 |
| M. Delorge-Knieper | Midfielder | 0 | 3 | 7.00 | 19 | 16 |
| Tiago Araรบjo | Defender | 1 | 4 | 6.94 | 34 | 57 |
โญ Genk โ Key Players
| Player | Pos | G | A | Rating | Apps | KP |
|---|
| B. Heynen | Midfielder | 4 | 1 | 7.31 | 39 | 46 |
| H. Van Crombrugge | Goalkeeper | 0 | 0 | 7.18 | 12 | 0 |
| M. Smets | Defender | 0 | 1 | 7.17 | 39 | 17 |
| Z. El Ouahdi | Defender | 8 | 4 | 7.09 | 34 | 49 |
| D. Heymans | Midfielder | 10 | 4 | 7.04 | 30 | 32 |
Historical Data
In their last 10 meetings, Genk has the upper hand with 5 wins to Gent's 1, while they've drawn 4 times. The average goals per game in these encounters is 2.8, with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals. Both teams have scored in half of these matches, suggesting a competitive edge. Genk's recent dominance includes a 3-0 victory in their last clash, but Gent will look to turn the tables this time.
Model Output & Recommendation
The Poisson model gives Gent a 39% chance of winning, with a calculated xG of 1.76 compared to Genk's 1.3. The confidence score of 86% is based on data strength and consistency, showing a solid backing for Gent. The most likely scoreline is a 1-1 draw, but with Gent's home advantage and Genk's defensive lapses, a home win is recommended. The odds of 2.56 for Gent to win present good value.
Statistical Deep Dive
Gent's recent form might look shaky with a LDDDL streak, but at home, they average 1.2 goals scored and allow 1.1, showing resilience. Their xG of 1.76 suggests they create chances, though finishing has been inconsistent. Genk averages 1.9 goals scored and conceded on the road, indicating vulnerability in defense. The BTTS (Both Teams to Score) rate stands at 50% for both teams, reflecting their tendency to both score and concede. Gent's clean sheet rate is 25%, which could be crucial if they tighten their defense.
Frequently Asked Questions
1
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Gent vs Genk?
With an xG total of 3.06 and a 52% chance for over 2.5 goals, the
odds for over 2.5 are 1.92. Given both
teams' scoring patterns, it's a likely scenario.
2
There's a 53% BTTS rate with
odds of 1.89 for both
teams to
score. Gent's clean sheet rate is 25%, suggesting both
teams are likely to find the net.
3
What does the head-to-head record say about Gent vs Genk?
Genk leads with 5
wins, 4 draws, and 1 loss in the last 10 meetings. The average goals per
game is 2.8, with 50% of matches seeing over 2.5 goals, showcasing Genk's recent dominance.
4
What is the Draw No
Bet option for Gent vs Genk?
Draw No
Bet means if it ends in a draw, your stake is returned. Gent's DNB
odds are 1.87 and Genk's are 1.95. Gent offers better value with their strong home form.
5
Are there injury concerns for Gent vs Genk?
Both squads appear to be fit with no significant injuries reported. This means each
team can field their strongest lineup, influencing the prediction positively.
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Jupiler Pro League31.05.2026
