Crystal PalaceDraw 29%Arsenal
🏆
Prediction
Crystal Palace @ 6.5
⚽
Over 2.5 Goals
YES
52% probability
Crystal Palace's home form is solid with an average of 1.4 goals scored per
game. Arsenal, although top of the table, have shown vulnerability away, with a recent away draw against Atletico Madrid. The
odds offer value given Palace's home resilience.
💡 Crystal Palace's home defensive solidity is underrated. Their average concession of 0.7 goals per
game at home is a fortress-like performance against Arsenal's attack.
Final Result
Crystal Palace 1 : 2 Arsenal
Our prediction: 1 โ
Arsenal visits Selhurst Park in London. They lead the Premier League but face a test. Crystal Palace, fighting for pride, are no pushovers at home. With Arsenal's form wavering, expect a tight battle. Palace's defensive records at home might just tilt the scales.
Avg Scored1.4
Avg Conceded1.3
Over 2.570%
BTTS60%
Clean Sheets6
Avg Scored1.55
Avg Conceded0.75
Over 2.545%
BTTS45%
Clean Sheets10
๐๏ธVenue
Selhurst Park, London
26,309 capacity ยท Grass
โญ Crystal Palace โ Key Players
| Player | Pos | G | A | Rating | Apps | KP |
|---|
| M. Guรฉhi | Defender | 2 | 2 | 7.22 | 20 | 9 |
| W. Benรญtez | Goalkeeper | 0 | 0 | 7.20 | 1 | 0 |
| A. Wharton | Midfielder | 0 | 5 | 7.07 | 32 | 40 |
| D. Henderson | Goalkeeper | 0 | 0 | 6.94 | 35 | 1 |
| C. Richards | Defender | 1 | 0 | 6.92 | 32 | 9 |
โญ Arsenal โ Key Players
| Player | Pos | G | A | Rating | Apps | KP |
|---|
| D. Rice | Midfielder | 4 | 5 | 7.44 | 35 | 64 |
| Gabriel Magalhรฃes | Defender | 3 | 4 | 7.40 | 30 | 7 |
| B. Saka | Attacker | 7 | 4 | 7.24 | 30 | 62 |
| Martรญn Zubimendi | Midfielder | 5 | 1 | 7.08 | 36 | 18 |
| W. Saliba | Defender | 1 | 0 | 7.03 | 30 | 10 |
๐ Additional Markets
Double Chance 1X2.62
Double Chance X21.11
Double Chance 121.22
Over 1.5 Goals1.28
Under 1.5 Goals3.75
Verdict
Verdict. Crystal Palace's home performance might surprise Arsenal. With M. Guรฉhi fortifying the backline, and Arsenal's recent away hiccups, the odds of 6.5 for a Palace win offer value. Arsenal's key players, D. Rice and B. Saka, will face a tough task breaking through a Palace side looking to finish strong at home. The model predicts a 1-0 scoreline, aligning with Palace's defensive capabilities and Arsenal's occasional away struggles. Expect a close encounter.
Focus: Crystal Palace
Focus: Crystal Palace. Palace's current form is shaky, with a streak showing two draws and three losses. However, at Selhurst Park, they stand firm. Conceding an average of 0.7 goals per home game, their defense is a bulwark. Key player M. Guรฉhi anchors the defense, contributing 2 goals and 2 assists this season. Their formation, a 3-4-2-1, provides stability, allowing for tactical flexibility. Their home record of 4 wins, 9 draws, and 5 losses shows resilience. This match is a chance to demonstrate their home strength against the league leaders.
The Visitors: Arsenal
The Visitors: Arsenal. Arsenal reign atop the league, but their away form isnโt invincible. They have scored 1.5 goals per game away, yet their defense concedes an average of 1 goal. D. Rice and B. Saka are key threats, with Rice contributing 4 goals and 5 assists, and Saka adding 7 goals. Their 4-3-3 formation is designed for attacking prowess, yet recent away ties suggest cracks. Despite winning 10 away games, their recent draw against Atletico highlights potential pitfalls. Arsenalโs defensive solidity will be tested at Selhurst Park.
Frequently Asked Questions
1
What are the
odds for Crystal Palace vs Arsenal?
Crystal Palace: 6.5 (15.38%), Draw: 4.1 (24.39%), Arsenal: 1.48 (67.57%). The model sees value in the Crystal Palace
win with a probability of 38% vs the implied 15.38%.
2
What is the correct
score prediction for Crystal Palace vs Arsenal?
The model's most likely
score is 1-0. This aligns with Crystal Palace's xG of 1.22 vs Arsenal's 0.76, suggesting a narrow
win for the hosts.
3
What is the best
bet for Crystal Palace vs Arsenal?
Best value
bet: Crystal Palace
Win at
odds of 6.5. The model gives Palace a 38% chance, higher than the implied probability of 15.38%, offering a value edge.
4
Is the Double Chance
bet worth it for Crystal Palace vs Arsenal?
Double Chance 1X is priced at 2.62 (38.17% implied), X2 at 1.11 (90.09% implied), and 12 at 1.22 (81.97% implied). The model suggests a 38% chance for 1X, aligning with the value.
5
Are there injury concerns for Crystal Palace vs Arsenal?
Both squads appear fit with no significant injuries reported. This ensures full strength sides, adding depth to tactical battles.
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Premier League24.05.2026
