Free Prediction: Real Monarchs vs Tacoma Defiance | MLS Next Pro | 20/07/2026

Football predictions

14.07.2026 07:03

MLS Next Pro|20/07/2026

Real Monarchs

62%

Tacoma Defiance

21%

62%

17%

21%

Real MonarchsDraw 17%Tacoma Defiance

🏆

Prediction

Real Monarchs

⚽

Over 2.5 Goals

YES

67% probability

🔁

Both Teams Score

YES

53% probability

Model Confidence

88%

55%Model accuracy (last 60 days) — 130/238

★ BEST BET

Real Monarchs Win

The model gives Real Monarchs a 62% probability of victory, which aligns well with their strong home form, boasting 8 wins in 12 matches. Their attacking prowess at home, scoring an average of 1.83 goals per game, further supports this. Tacoma's struggles on the road, with 5 losses out of 9, add weight to the prediction.

💡 Real Monarchs have scored an average of 1.83 goals per home game, a key factor given Tacoma Defiance's leaky away defence, conceding 1.56 per game.

Final Result

Real Monarchs 2 : 4 Tacoma Defiance

Our prediction: 1 ✗

In the bustling city of Salt Lake, Real Monarchs and Tacoma Defiance gear up for a showdown that promises high stakes and drama. With Real Monarchs sitting fifth in the league on 26 points, just two points ahead of Tacoma Defiance in sixth, the outcome of this clash could significantly impact the playoff race. Both teams have displayed fluctuating forms, but Real Monarchs' home advantage, where they have won eight of their twelve games, could prove decisive. Despite both teams having identical overall records of 11 wins and 9 losses, Real Monarchs' superior goal-scoring record at home makes this encounter particularly intriguing. This match is not just about points; it’s about momentum and positioning as the season enters its critical phase.

📊 Team Statistics

Real Monarchs

WWLLW

Wins

Draws

Losses

Avg Scored1.7

Avg Conceded1.7

Over 2.575%

BTTS65%

Clean Sheets2

Failed to Score5

Home8W 0D 4L

Away3W 0D 5L

Tacoma Defiance

WLLWW

Wins

Draws

Losses

Avg Scored1.25

Avg Conceded1.25

Over 2.550%

BTTS40%

Clean Sheets6

Failed to Score7

Home6W 0D 5L

Away4W 0D 5L

Prediction

The Verdict

Predictions

The Match in Context

Team Statistics

Key Statistics

Risks

Risk Scenarios: The Case Against

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the odds for Real Monarchs vs Tacoma Defiance?

Real Monarchs are at odds of 1.61, the draw is at odds of 5.88, and Tacoma Defiance are at odds of 7.14. The implied probabilities are 62% for Real Monarchs, 17% for a draw, and 21% for Tacoma. The Real Monarchs' odds represent value as they match the model's 62% probability.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Real Monarchs vs Tacoma Defiance?

Yes, with the match expected to see over 2.5 goals 67% of the time, supported by an xG total of 3.24 and a historical 80% of H2H games exceeding this mark. The odds for over 2.5 goals are priced at 1.50.

Will both teams score in Real Monarchs vs Tacoma Defiance?

Both teams are likely to score with a BTTS probability of 53%. Real Monarchs' home matches have seen both teams score 65% of the time. Tacoma’s clean sheet rate of 40% suggests they might struggle to keep a clean sheet.

What does the head-to-head record say about Real Monarchs vs Tacoma Defiance?

In the last 10 meetings, both teams have won 5 matches each, with no draws. The games average 3 goals, and 80% have gone over 2.5 goals. The recent encounter saw Tacoma winning 1-0, hinting at a balanced rivalry.

Is the Double Chance bet worth it for Real Monarchs vs Tacoma Defiance?

The Double Chance bet 1X is priced at odds of 1.14, offering a 90% implied probability. Given Real Monarchs' strong home form and Tacoma’s inconsistent away results, this bet provides good value.

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